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Here is the su...So many great answers and pointers.<br />Here is the summary of your answers and my thoughts. I will also send this in a newsletter because these are great life puzzles.<br /><br />The coffee puzzle<br />-----------------<br />As some of you pointed out there are few possible scenarios. Given that we are talking about France where decaf is not very common and that this restaurant works as a factory, I think the most likely scenario is that all the coffee cups are filled with caffeine. I call this Scenario1 and assign this a high probability of 0.5. Scenario2 is when all the cups are filled with decaf. Lets say it has a lower probability of 0.2. And the Scenario3 is when the waiter really filled the order and brought two requested decafs and one caff. Lets assign this the remaining probability of 0.3. We assume that no other scenarios are possible.<br /><br />In the Scenario1 my probability of getting decaf is 0.<br />In the Scenario2 my probability of getting decaf is 1.<br />In the Scenario3 this probability depends on whether the waiter correctly pointed to the caffeinated cup.<br />If he did, then in this situation my probability of drinking decaf is 1. If he didn't then my probability of drinking decaf is 1/2 as only one of the two non-pointed cups has decaf.<br />Let's say that both of the above events are equally likely.<br /><br />Adding all Scenarios and probabilities we have:<br />P(Scenario1)x0 + P(Scenario2)x1+ P(Scenario3)x[1/2x1+1/2x1/2]=<br />0.5x0 +0.2x1 + 0.3x[3/4] =<br />0.2 + 0.225 = 0.425<br /><br />Less than a half!<br />I must have lucked out because I did get a good night sleep that night. Or, I might be underestimating French waiters.<br /><br /><br />Dobble game puzzle<br />--------------------------------<br />Turns out this game exists outside of France and is known as Spot It. Jerome is saying you can get it on eBay.<br />How many cards are there?<br />From my hint that one card is left when you split them between 2 and 3 players you correctly concluded that the number of cards should be divisible by 2x3=6 plus one as a remainder.<br />6k+1 formula<br />It can be 7, 13, 19, 25, 3, 37, 3, 49, 55 etc.<br />The first options are just too small to play with. But any number after 37 is reasonable. In fact there are 55 cards in this game.<br /><br />Jerome posted a link to the interesting mathematical analysis of this game.<br />Apparently in a mathematically precise game there are should be 57 cards and symbols. By some reason in Dobble and SpotIt two cards have been dropped. But wait, there is more! Someone counted and discovered that each object does not appear in equal frequency with others; the min is 6, the max is 10. Clover is more common than flower, maple leaf or snowman. <br /><br /><br />Police and speed limit puzzle<br />---------------------------------------------<br />I was imagining a policeman sitting with a map and calculator but Tom and Jerome, both, suggested empirical testing. Police drives each segment with a legal speed limit and uses the resulting sum of times as a threshold. Or, it can be an average of a times of a number of legally driven cars. Possibly a margin can be added to this time to allow for speed change in-between the segments.<br /><br /><br />Nicolas posted a hilarious related story:<br />"Just read an article about radars in France: a policeman admits they have to maximize revenues. A correctly-placed radar must bring 3 new "customers" per minute. Problem: if you leave a radar for more than a few hours in the same place it gets registered with various (legal) warning systems like smartphone apps or networked GPS devices and the number of customers decreases. They need to change places at regular intervals but their monthly gas quota is also limited, so they do have to optimize their booby-traps to several close-by places in random order.<br />Yeah... Who said this had anything to do with road security?"<br /><br />Thanks for the dialog! We all learned quite a lot from these questions and answers. Everyone who answered gets a puzzle point for each puzzle.<br />Eat your baguette before lunch time and I will be back next week.Mariahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03531038729784271459noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5537250501289775111.post-69778447648488439982012-08-31T22:44:17.290-04:002012-08-31T22:44:17.290-04:00By the way, welcome back Maria. It's sure nice...By the way, welcome back Maria. It's sure nice to get these thought provoking questions.Jeromenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5537250501289775111.post-15805629873291920622012-08-31T18:59:48.506-04:002012-08-31T18:59:48.506-04:00Side Comment
============
Did you really mean to s...Side Comment<br />============<br />Did you really mean to say that there are no fruits or vegetables with a meal? That would be devastating to Mary and me since we don't eat anything that had a mother and moves.<br /><br />Three Identical Cups<br />=====================<br />Oh dear! One of those horrible puzzles where you can't decide the probability because it is either subtle or obvious. I'm going to say it's obvious. You are 100% certain if you believe the waiter. The person doing the driving should believe him and take his cup. There are two left. They are both decaffeinated. Pick one.<br /><br />If you don't believe him (perhaps there is a language problem), you have a problem. You have a 2/3 chance of getting what you ordered. <br /><br />If there is uncertainty about belief (he can go either way) then 1/2*2/3 = 1/3 is a possible answer.<br /><br />There is a book called the lady and the tiger by Raymond Smullyan at Amazon which is filled with puzzles like this one. Frankly I'm not very good at them.<br /><br />Dobble<br />======<br />This game is called Spot it in the United States and sells for $9.00 on Ebay. <br /><br />According to this article (of which I understand like <br /><br />http://stackoverflow.com/questions/6240113/what-are-the-mathematical-computational-principles-behind-this-game<br /><br />Which is a programming cite and talks about how to program this game and this one which talks more about the math<br /><br />http://math.stackexchange.com/questions/36798/what-is-the-math-behind-the-game-spot-it<br /><br />This game has n^2 + n + 1 ways of distributing 8 symbols per card 57 different symbols and 57 cards when n = 7. I'm sorry to report that I understand very little of how that might have been obtained. My math expertise simply does not go in that direction. Not all symbols are evenly distributed as you might think they have to be. See the second reference for this. <br /><br />It is not surprising that there can be fewer cards than what is theoretically derived from the formula. See discussion on 3 symbols and 4 cards with 6 symbols in my second reference.<br /><br />By the way, spot it and Dobble both have 55 cards. The total number of pictures is 55*8 = 440 but they are not evenly distributed.<br /><br />Speed Limit Varies<br />==================<br />My favorite joke when I drive in British Columbia (our sister province to the west of Alberta where I live) which I often ask my kids since they both live there, is "What's the speed limit in British Columbia?" It took them awhile to catch on to the fact that there really isn't one. <br /><br />You don't like what you see now, wait ten minutes and it will change. It always does.<br /><br />The reason you can't simply use d = r*t and solve for t is that you have to take into account the deceleration period between different speed zones.<br /><br />Even if you put a sign on the road warning of a change in speeds our car (for example) seldom makes it down to the posted limit after seeing the warning.<br /><br />The only way I can think to do it is to get 100 cars to travel over the distance and record their times. Being just a bit liberal add a reasonable +/- fudge factor and call that the official time.<br />Jeromenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5537250501289775111.post-778728359859404042012-08-31T12:59:00.749-04:002012-08-31T12:59:00.749-04:00Aw, I forgot about the decaf puzzle. I see several...Aw, I forgot about the decaf puzzle. I see several issues...depending on how we read the waiter's reluctance.<br /><br />It is entirely possible, in Paris, that all 3 cups were identical and caffeinated (he forgot), in which case there is NO chance you got a decaf. Or all 3 were decaf, in which case you most definitely did, 100%.<br /><br />Or the waiter was confused and no longer knew which one was real, so he guessed. If it's his guess and the order was filled properly, your guess is as good as his and your odds are 2 in 3 of getting a decaf.<br /><br />Or, the order could have been poured right but your waiter could fib because he didn't like your French accent. In this case (a lie), if your driver takes the waiter's advice, the driver WILL get a decaf, and one of the two sleepy passengers will get leaded.<br /><br />Or the order could have been filled backwards, with 2 caffeine. Hey, all these things do happen. And the waiter still could fib, or he could still not know.<br /><br />All bread is best, I think, when it is just baked, and I rarely get it that way. Bagels and baguettes too. I'm not sure the staleness curve is a straight line. Plastic bags will help considerably but I think you'd need to bring your own bag in Paris.Tomnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5537250501289775111.post-63084946173403412232012-08-31T12:38:22.751-04:002012-08-31T12:38:22.751-04:00France is a big and diverse country so the cuisine...France is a big and diverse country so the cuisine is diverse. Mexico is bigger, Russia is larger, China is larger still (I think?). Gotta find what you like, if you can.<br /><br />19 cards I think? Just came to me. Seven and 13 won't cover many players AND certainly won't accomplish the object criterion. Might need even more; 31? 37? 43? I dunno.<br /><br />The "simplest" way for the police to establish the minimum legal time to travel any stretch of road is to drive it at the speed limit. Math would be the hard way! I remember they used to do time stamps on the Penna Parkway when I was a kid; they may still.Tomnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5537250501289775111.post-39416200337096044932012-08-31T10:20:38.239-04:002012-08-31T10:20:38.239-04:00Delighted to see Paris depicted by the Math Mom!
...Delighted to see Paris depicted by the Math Mom!<br /><br />Some points you raised need a bit more explanations from my side.<br />You are absolutely spot on with baguette freshness: usually eat it within 4-6 hours after it left the oven, which is the reason why most bakeries offer different types of bread that can be kept for a few days! Ah, and baguettes can taste radically different from one bakery to the next. You should have tried a large sample of bakeries but August is not the right period for that.<br /><br />French food is close to impossible to characterize in one broad sweep. The country being built from several cultures, you will find very different dishes in various regions. East has German-like specialties, North is Dutch-like, West is all about seafood, Southwest is Spanish-like, East and South-East are Italian-like, Corsica has its own stuff. Popular dishes are based around popular vegetables, i.e. potatoes or kraut. Variety increases with dish sophistication, probably as anywhere else. You could have probed a lot more interesting stuff if the kids had been more adventurous, but few kids are (mine certainly aren't). Sorry it had to end up with baguette+dijon or eggs every day :-)<br />BTW, Unesco tends like French cuisine: http://www.nytimes.com/2010/11/17/world/17unesco.html<br /><br />Just read an article about radars in France: a policeman admits they have to maximize revenues. A correctly-placed radar must bring 3 new "customers" per minute. Problem: if you leave a radar for more than a few hours in the same place it gets registered with various (legal) warning systems like smartphone apps or networked GPS devices and the number of customers decreases. They need to change places at regular intervals but their monthly gas quota is also limited, so they do have to optimize their booby-traps to several closeby places in random order.<br />Yeah... Who said this had anything to do with road security?<br /><br />Cheers<br />NicolasAnonymousnoreply@blogger.com